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November 9th, 2009, 6:47 pm | By ChrisVermeulen | Published in Weekly Fundamental | Comments on this postComments Off

Commodity Report for Gold, Silver, Oil and Nat Gas

Everyone is talking about commodities as the place to be in the coming months. I tend to agree, but it is still important to know where each commodity is trading to maximize returns and reduce risk.

That being said we are also seeing money flow out of the small cap stocks and into the large cap blue chips Stocks. These companies prove year after year that they are profitable and that’s where investors have been putting their money the past couple weeks. This can be seen by simply looking at the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Russell 2000 index as the Russell has dropped in value much more than the Dow. But if we see the market turn back up and make a new yearly high in the coming weeks, small cap stocks will most likely provide explosive opportunities for traders.

Below is some analysis on gold, silver, natural gas and oil

GLD ETF Trading – Weekly Trading Chart
By looking at the weekly chart of gold we can see two simple things.
1 – Each breakout is happening quicker as money continues to move into gold.
2 – This step like pattern (bull flags) is very powerful and can continue for a very long time.

Gold

GLD ETF Trading – Daily Trading Chart
This chart shows the same price action but on a daily chart. It also shows one way to find and trade low risk setups for the GLD ETF traded fund.

Gold

SLV ETF Trading – Weekly Trading Chart
Silver ETF trading has not been as exciting. Silver has yet to breakout above the 2008 high. It is actually trading at a major resistance level and still has some work to be done before looking really bullish in my eyes. This is acting like major resistance level for two main reasons.

1 – It is testing the 2008 highs where a lot of traders bought silver over a 5-6 month period. There are a lot of sellers to flush out before moving higher.

2 – The drop in silver price in late 2008 was so scary for investors who bought at $16-20 that they cannot believe they are getting their money back. I think this is making a higher volume of investors sell their positions at break even because they just want out after seeing 50% loss at one point last year.

Silver

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About the author

ChrisVermeulen TheGoldAndOilGuy - TheGoldAndOilGuy.com is owned and run by Chris Vermeulen, an individual gold trading specialist. After sharing his gold analysis with friends, traders and financial advisors, he decided to make TheGoldAndOilGuy.com

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